Cardiff
Reception prisons · HMPPS functional group: Reception · Public sector · Wales
HMP Cardiff is a public sector prison in the Reception group. It sits in the top quarter of 31 similar prisons, with a likely position of 1st to 4th. Its official HMPPS rating is "Of concern". Based on official data to March 2026.
At a glance
| Band among 31 reception prisons | Top quarter |
|---|---|
| Likely position |
1st to 4th of 31
Median 2nd. The range is the 5th to 95th percentile over 1,000 re-weightings and measurement uncertainty. |
| Pillars | Safety Top quarter Decency Top quarter Regime Top quarter Resettlement Top quarter |
| Official HMPPS rating (context) | Of concern, score 65.1%
Not an input to our bands. |
The official HMPPS rating was changed by a moderation panel from what its scoring formula alone would have given. Our bands do not use the official rating or its moderation.
The measures behind the bands
Position is where the prison sits among its 31 peers on that measure alone (lower incident rates are better; higher grades and outcomes are better). For incident outcomes the position is after adjusting for who the prison holds.
| Measure | This prison | Group median | Position in group | Data from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety pillar position: Top quarter | ||||
| Prisoner-on-prisoner assaults | 271 per 1,000 prisoners expected 430 | 357 | Top quarter | Apr 2025 to Mar 2026 |
| Assaults on staff | 69.2 per 1,000 prisoners expected 163 | 140 | Top quarter | Apr 2025 to Mar 2026 |
| Self-harm incidents | 275 per 1,000 prisoners expected 881 | 686 | Top quarter | Apr 2025 to Mar 2026 |
| HMIP healthy prison test: safety | 3 (reasonably good) | 2.0 | Top quarter | Inspected Jan 2024 |
| Prisoner survey: safety and security | 4 (highest) | 3.0 | Top quarter | Survey from Mar 2025 |
| Decency pillar position: Top quarter | ||||
| HMIP healthy prison test: respect | 3 (reasonably good) | 3.0 | Upper middle | Inspected Jan 2024 |
| Prisoner survey: respect | 4 (highest) | 3.0 | Top quarter | Survey from Mar 2025 |
| Regime pillar position: Top quarter | ||||
| HMIP healthy prison test: purposeful activity | 3 (reasonably good) | 1.0 | Top quarter | Inspected Jan 2024 |
| Prisoner survey: purposeful activity | 4 (highest) | 3.0 | Top quarter | Survey from Mar 2025 |
| Prisoners in at least half-time purposeful activity | 69% | 46% | Top quarter | 2025/26 |
| Resettlement pillar position: Top quarter | ||||
| Housed on the first night after release | 78% | 74% | Upper middle | 2025/26 |
| In employment six weeks after release | 23% | 16% | Top quarter | 2025/26 |
| In employment six months after release | 41% | 26% | Top quarter | 2025/26 |
| HMIP healthy prison test: preparation for release | 3 (reasonably good) | 3.0 | Upper middle | Inspected Jan 2024 |
Incidents compared with what we would expect
Rates are incidents per 1,000 prisoners over April 2025 to March 2026. The expectation is the average of a statistical model of who the prison holds (sentence length, remand, recalls, age, turnover, crowding) and the average of its HMPPS comparator prisons. Neither includes the prison's own result.
| Outcome | Actual | Model expects | Similar prisons | Expected (used) | Actual ÷ expected | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prisoner-on-prisoner assaults | 271 | 461 | 401 | 430 | 0.63× | Lower than expected, but within what chance and recording differences could produce |
| Assaults on staff | 69.2 | 167 | 158 | 163 | 0.43× | Lower than expected, but within what chance and recording differences could produce |
| Self-harm incidents | 275 | 976 | 795 | 881 | 0.31× | Lower than expected, but within what chance and recording differences could produce |
A flag appears only when the result is outside statistical limits and in the same direction under the model, the comparators and their average. It is a prompt to look, not a finding of fault. Counts of one or two incidents are suppressed in the source and estimated here.
Similar prisons
HMPPS names these prisons as the closest comparators, matching on age, sentence length, turnover, sex-offender share, complexity, building age and setting. Rates are per 1,000 prisoners; reoffending is the share of people released in April 2023 to March 2024 who reoffended within a year.
| Prison | Prisoner assaults | Staff assaults | Self-harm | Reoffending | Official rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff (this prison) | 271 | 69.2 | 275 | 54% | Of concern |
| Chelmsford | 323 | 190 | 1,234 | 51% | Good |
| Swansea | 157 | 58.2 | 484 | 59% | Good |
| Preston | 473 | 64.6 | 836 | 62% | Good |
| Winchester | 494 | 220 | 952 | 48% | Serious concern |
| Lewes | 361 | 104 | 750 | 57% | Good |
| Bristol | 452 | 165 | 890 | 58% | Of concern |
| Durham | 392 | 84.6 | 408 | 64% | Good |
| Bedford | 559 | 381 | 802 | 63% | Serious concern |
| Average of similar prisons | 401 | 158 | 795 | 58% |
Who the prison holds
These describe the population, not the prison's performance. They are what the expectations above adjust for. Averages over the four quarter-ends of 2025/26.
| Share of population | This prison | Group median |
|---|---|---|
| Average population | 703 | 904 |
| On remand (untried or convicted, unsentenced) | 49% | 59% |
| Sentence under 12 months | 13% | 8% |
| Sentence 12 months to under 4 years | 12% | 9% |
| Sentence 4 years or more (determinate) | 7% | 6% |
| Life or IPP sentence | 1% | 0% |
| Recalled to custody | 17% | 15% |
| Aged under 25 | 16% | 16% |
| Aged 50 or over | 10% | 13% |
| Releases in the year, per prisoner held | 1.30 | 0.83 |
| Prisoners held in crowded accommodation | 62% | 56% |
Remand is decided by courts and recall by probation and the Parole Board. They are context here, not something a prison controls.
Also shown, not scored
Staff sickness and resignations
Sickness: 12.2 days per full-time employee (HMPPS target 9; median for public prisons in its group 13.3).
Resignation rate: 5.8%.
Position among public-sector prisons in its group: sickness lower middle, resignations lower middle. Related to quality in our tests, but the direction of cause is unclear, so it is not scored.
Reoffending after release
53.9% of 899 people released in April 2023 to March 2024 reoffended within a year. Expected given who is released and the mix of the prison and its comparators: 59.8%. Result: about as expected.
The Ministry of Justice says rates by releasing prison should not be used to assess prisons: they do not control for sentence or offender characteristics, and the prison of release may not be where the sentence was mainly served. About two years old.
Disorder incidents and finds
| Per 1,000 prisoners, 2025/26 | This prison | Group median |
|---|---|---|
| Incidents at height | 69.7 | 84.0 |
| Barricades | 10.0 | 15.5 |
| Drug finds | 707 | 338 |
| Weapon finds | 65.4 | 144 |
| Mobile phone finds | 74.0 | 92.7 |
Not scored. We cannot separate real disorder from differences in how incidents are recorded, and more finds can mean better searching rather than more contraband. Also recorded: 1 escape from an HMPPS escort; 1 release in error.
Healthcare
Healthcare in Welsh prisons is inspected by Healthcare Inspectorate Wales, not the Care Quality Commission, so there is no CQC information here.
How current is this?
| HMIP grades | Inspected Jan 2024 |
|---|---|
| Prisoner survey grades | Survey from Mar 2025 |
| Incident rates and workforce | April 2025 to March 2026 |
| Resettlement outcomes | 2025/26 performance year |
| Reoffending | People released April 2023 to March 2024, followed for a year plus a six-month wait for court outcomes |
| Population mix | Quarter-ends June 2025 to March 2026 |
Sources: data downloads and methodology. Think a figure is wrong? Tell us.